CMBS Default Rates: Historical Patterns and 2025 Outlook

A female real estate investor with red hair reading a graph showing increasing CMBS default rates over time and being shocked at the data.

Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) delinquency rates have reached concerning levels in early 2025, with rates climbing to 6.57% in December 2024. The office sector faces particular challenges, driving much of this increase. Your investment decisions in the CMBS market need to account for the significant variation in default risks across property types, with office properties…

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Federal Office Space Cuts Impact on CRE Loans: Investor Guide

Empty office buildings with "For Lease" signs, abandoned cubicles, and vacant meeting rooms. Economic impact visible through deserted workspaces

The federal government’s aggressive reduction in office space leases signals a major shift in the commercial real estate landscape. Recent policy changes targeting GSA leases put $15.6 billion in commercial real estate loans at risk, affecting 201 loans secured by 13.8 million square feet of federal office space. The GSA currently manages 149.5 million square…

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What Makes a Bulletproof Real Estate Investment Pro Forma?

A desk with a laptop, calculator, and financial documents. A graph showing projected profits and losses. A city skyline in the background

A real estate pro forma is a crucial financial projection that helps you evaluate potential investment properties before committing your capital. Pro forma analysis projects future cash flows by examining expected rental income, operating expenses, and potential returns over a specific time period. Whether you’re analyzing your first property or expanding your portfolio, creating accurate…

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Retail Store Closures: A Hidden Real Estate Investment Gold Mine

Empty storefronts line the street, "For Lease" signs dotting the windows. Investors survey the area, strategizing potential real estate acquisitions

The retail landscape is experiencing a dramatic transformation as store closures surge by 70% in 2024, creating ripples across commercial real estate markets. With projections of 15,000 store closures by 2025, savvy real estate investors are discovering valuable opportunities in this shifting market. The current wave of retail closures presents strategic acquisition opportunities, particularly in…

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Can Eviction Rate Data Predict Your Next Investment Win?

A graph showing rising eviction rates over time

Tracking eviction rates offers crucial insights for property investors seeking to make informed decisions about market stability and potential returns. The nationwide database of evictions provides detailed metrics that reveal neighborhood dynamics, economic health, and investment viability across different locations. Analysis of eviction data shows that areas with lower eviction rates typically indicate stronger rental…

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Why Are Corporate Landlords Dumping Homes? 5 Red Flags to Watch

A group of male and female corporate landlords smoking cigars and laughing about the upcoming housing market crash they are creating.

Large institutional landlords own approximately 446,000 single-family homes nationwide, representing a significant portion of rental housing inventory. When these large corporate landlords start dumping homes, it can signal broader market shifts that savvy real estate investors need to monitor carefully. The emergence of corporate landlords after the Great Recession created a new dynamic in housing…

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Commercial Real Estate Bond Distress in 2025: Shocking Stats

A desolate office building with boarded-up windows and a "For Sale" sign. Weeds grow through the cracks in the parking lot

The commercial real estate bond market faces unprecedented challenges in early 2025, with distress rates reaching record highs. Bond distress has hit an all-time peak, particularly affecting major urban centers like New York and San Francisco, where office vacancies continue to reshape the lending landscape. Traditional safe havens are no longer immune to market pressures,…

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How To Perform a Commercial Real Estate Analysis

A bustling city skyline with skyscrapers and office buildings, surrounded by busy streets and bustling with activity

Commercial real estate analysis requires systematic evaluation of properties to make informed investment decisions. A comprehensive commercial real estate analysis examines key metrics including net operating income, cap rates, cash flow projections, market conditions, tenant quality, and location demographics to determine a property’s investment potential. Understanding these fundamental metrics helps you evaluate opportunities effectively and…

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Inflation Impact on Real Estate Investors: Profiting From Market Shifts

A graph showing real estate prices rising while a money bag deflates

Inflation shapes the real estate investment landscape in profound ways. During inflationary periods, real estate investors often benefit from rising property values and increased rental income, while fixed-rate mortgage debt becomes effectively cheaper over time as the dollar’s purchasing power decreases. Property values tend to appreciate as construction costs rise and replacement values increase. Real…

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Real Estate Notes: Your Guide to Private Lending Investments

A desk with a laptop, pen, and stack of papers. A window overlooks a city skyline. A "For Sale" sign is visible outside

Investing in real estate doesn’t always mean owning physical properties. You could invest in AI, for example. On the other hand, real estate notes represent a unique opportunity to earn passive income from property debt instead of direct ownership. These promissory notes are legal documents that outline the terms of a real estate loan, allowing…

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Short Sales vs Foreclosures: Key Differences for Investors

A row of houses, some with "For Sale" signs and others boarded up, surrounded by overgrown lawns and neglected landscaping with two real estate investors walking down the sidewalk.

When homeowners face financial difficulties, their properties often end up as either short sales or foreclosures. These situations create opportunities for real estate investors to acquire properties below market value. A short sale occurs when lenders allow the property to sell for less than the mortgage balance, while a foreclosure happens after the bank takes…

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